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以风险规避零售商和风险规避供应商组成的两层供应链系统为研究对象,在条件风险估值的风险度量准则下讨论两生产模式下风险规避零售商的最优订购策略和风险规避供应商的最优生产策略.通过数值实验得出如下结论:若零售商的风险规避度越小,则零售商的第1次最优订购量越多,风险利润越大;供应商的第1次最优生产量随着供应商的风险规避度减小而增大;零售商的风险规避度越小,越不利于供应商的生产投机行为.
Taking the two-tier supply chain system consisting of risk aversion retailers and risk aversion suppliers as the research object, under the risk measurement criterion of conditional risk valuation, the optimal order strategy and risk avoidance providers of risk aversion retailers under two production modes are discussed. The optimal production strategy is obtained.The following conclusions are reached through numerical experiments: If the retailer’s risk aversion is smaller, the more the retailer’s first order quantity is, the greater the risk profit will be. The first Optimal production increases with the reduction of risk aversion of suppliers; the smaller the retailer’s risk aversion, the less favorable to suppliers’ production speculation.