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本文结合我国电信需求的新特点,讨论了在目前特定条件下适合我国情况的预测方法,重点分析了二次起飞理论和增强模型,并以此为基础,对中国电信市场的发展进行了预测,以供规划我国国家信息基础设施时参考.
Based on the new characteristics of China’s telecom demand, this paper discusses the forecasting methods suitable for our country under the specific conditions at present, analyzes the secondary take-off theory and augmented model emphatically, and predicts the development of China’s telecom market. For the planning of China’s national information infrastructure reference.