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为了建立一体化的客运换乘体系和货运服务体系,实现综合运输,以北京市客货运输发展现状为基础,运用多种预测方法,对北京市未来的公路客货运量的发展趋势进行了分析和预测。根据OD调查结果,通过建立方向性转移概率矩阵,确定了客货运适站量的流向分布,对北京市的公路运输枢纽的布局规划进行了调整和优化,对信息系统的总体结构和网络结构进行了整体设计,并提出了公路运输枢纽建设经营的政策和建议。
In order to establish an integrated passenger transfer system and freight service system and to realize integrated transportation, the future trend of highway passenger and freight traffic volume in Beijing is analyzed based on the status quo of the development of passenger and freight transportation in Beijing using various prediction methods And forecast. According to the results of OD survey, the directional transition probability matrix is established to determine the flow distribution of passenger and freight transport capacity stations, and the layout planning of road transport hub in Beijing is adjusted and optimized. The overall structure and network structure of the information system The overall design, and put forward the highway transport hub construction and management policies and recommendations.