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本文通过借助艾肯格林设定经济增长减缓和加速需要满足的条件,考察新中国成立后我国经济增长趋势性特征。通过本文的研究发现:第一,新中国成立后,我国经济经过阶段性加速增长之后,加速过程在2003年开始向中西部区域转移,并且发达和沿海省区的增长趋于稳态;第二,中西部省区继续表现出持续的加速过程,中西部的增长潜力将是引致整体经济稳定增长的引擎;第三,基于国际增长经验和当前中国增长态势判断来看,中国成功跨入高收入阶段需要在跨越临界点前至少10年保持相对稳定增长。
This article examines the trend characteristics of China’s economic growth after the founding of new China by setting the conditions that need to be met to meet the needs of economic growth mitigation and acceleration. Through the study of this paper, we find that: First, after the founding of New China, after the period of accelerated economic growth in our country, the acceleration process began to shift to the central and western regions in 2003 and the growth in developed and coastal provinces tended to be steady. The second , The central and western provinces and autonomous regions continue to show a sustained acceleration process and the growth potential in the central and western regions will be the engines that will lead to the steady growth of the overall economy. Thirdly, based on the experience of international growth and the judgment on the current growth situation in China, China successfully entered the high-income The phase needs to maintain a relatively steady growth for at least 10 years before crossing the critical point.