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在出口增长、人民币升值预期增强、融资融券、股指期货推出背景下,预计我国股市将结束调整,由震荡至转强,上证指数阻力位在3400点附近,支撑位在2900点附近。二季度股市由震荡至转强2010年3月,上证指数窄幅震荡整理,股指的波动区间从2009年8月的600多点逐步收敛到不足200点(2963-3132点)。导致行情上下两难的原因是股市整体不足18倍的动态估值对峙着政策面逐步收紧的压力,经济和公司盈利增长数据对峙着处于收敛状态的流动性,蓝筹权重股估值修复要求对峙着题材概念股潜在的风险释放压力,2950点一线的年线支撑对峙着3250点一带囤积的历史天量。加息预期悬而未决,增量资金
In the context of export growth, the expected appreciation of the renminbi, the introduction of margin trading, stock index futures is expected to end the adjustment of China’s stock market, from shock to turn around, the Shanghai Composite Index resistance at 3400 near the support at 2900 near. In the second quarter, the stock market moved from concussion to strengthening. In March 2010, the SSE Composite Index fluctuated within a narrow range. The fluctuation range of the stock index gradually converged from less than 600 points in August 2009 to less than 200 points (2963-3132 points). The reason for the market downturn is that the stock market as a whole less than 18 times the dynamic valuation of the policy side face the tightening of the pressure of economic and corporate earnings growth data confrontation with the liquidity in the convergence of blue-chip heavyweights valuation of the repair requires confrontation Subject concept stocks potential risk release pressure, 2950 first-line support for the line of confrontation with 3250 points hoarding historical days. Rate hike is expected to be pending, incremental funding