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和17世纪一样,是由不平衡贸易导致的“流动性危机”过去20年,世界经济是如何增长的呢?美国不断滥发滥用美元,以购买中国、日本、中东等地的产品和石油。这种不平衡的贸易持续积累,最终,中、日等国持有了大量美元外汇储备,而美国也陷入了流动性短缺。所以,当前发生的世界性经济危机,不是次贷危机,而是“货币输出国”与“货币储备国”之间的矛盾所引发的“流动性危机”。这看上去很像是“17世纪危机”的翻版。
Like in the 17th century, it was caused by unbalanced trade. How the world economy has grown over the past 20 years? The United States continues to abuse and abuse the U.S. dollar to buy products from China, Japan, the Middle East, etc. oil. This unbalanced trade continued to accumulate. Eventually, China, Japan and other countries held a large amount of foreign exchange reserves of the U.S. dollar, and the United States was plunged into a liquidity shortage. Therefore, the current global economic crisis is not a subprime mortgage crisis, but a “liquidity crisis” triggered by the contradiction between the “currency exporter” and the “currency reserve country.” This looks a lot like a reprint of the Seventeenth Century Crisis.