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铁路面临重大体制改革,若提价将带来巨额利润。根据已上市的广深铁路的经验,政府一般会批准上市铁路收费价格上浮20%～50%,这将带来对应路段利润的大幅增长。假设部分路段改制上市后运输价格比目前提高20%～50%,员工工资提高20%,固定资产评估增值55%(根据广坪铁路评估溢价计算),税金按比例计增,其他成本不变,并考虑煤炭运输提价0．5分吨公里,则据我们的估算,利润将比煤炭运价提升前产生10～30倍的上升。
Railway is facing major structural reform, if the price increase will bring huge profits. According to the experience of the listed Guangzhou-Shenzhen Railway, the government generally approves the price increase of 20% to 50% of the listing railway charges, which will result in a substantial increase of profits corresponding to the road sections. It is assumed that the transportation price of some sections will be increased by 20% ~ 50% compared with the current market price, the staff salary increased by 20% and the fixed asset evaluation added value by 55% (calculated according to Guangping Railway Assessment Premium), the tax will be increased in proportion and the other costs will remain unchanged. And considering the 0.5-tonne-kilometer price increase for coal transportation, according to our estimation, the profit will be 10 to 30 times higher than that before the freight rate of coal is increased.