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未来五年,全球造纸行业结构性调整将进一步加强,中国将成为全球纸产品的贸易中心;造纸行业继续面临环境保护等政策的影响;高位能源价格对造纸行业的不利影响仍将持续;产出将有低幅度增长;发达国家的需求将有低幅度增长;中国、印度、东欧、俄罗斯以及拉美地区的需求继续保持高速增长。未来五年,中国纸和纸板生产和消费继续保持较高增长速度,预计产量增长速度在10%,消费量增长速度在8%;竞争加剧,利润增幅进一步放缓;结构调整仍是行业发展的主线,利润和产能将继续向优势企业集中,行业集中度将有大幅提高。
In the next five years, the structural adjustment of the global paper industry will be further strengthened. China will become the global trading center for paper products. The paper industry will continue to face the impact of environmental protection policies. The adverse impact of high energy prices on the paper industry will continue. Output There will be a low rate of growth; the demand of developed countries will have a low rate of growth; the demand of China, India, Eastern Europe, Russia and Latin America will continue to maintain rapid growth. In the next five years, the production and consumption of paper and paperboard in China will continue to maintain a relatively high growth rate. The output growth rate is expected to be 10% and the consumption rate to increase by 8%. The competition will intensify and the profit growth slows further. Structural adjustment is still the industry’s development The main line, profit and capacity will continue to focus on the dominant enterprises, industry concentration will be substantially increased.