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据国家内贸局消费品流通司预测,今年上半年生猪货源充足,肉食市场仍将维持供大于求的局面,但下半年肉价有望反弹。目前,生猪市场存在一些不容忽视的问题。一是从存栏结构来看,公母猪存栏1519.89万头,同比下降2.2%;仔猪存栏3539.87%万头,同比下降3.5%。二是猪价一直处于低位,粮价稳中趋升。猪粮比价偏低,1998年底已降为1:4.5,目前仍呈下降趋势;农民养猪比较效益下降,甚至亏本,一些农民由养猪转向其他生产。三是部分去年受灾
According to the forecast of the Bureau of Consumer Goods Distribution of the State Domestic Trade Bureau, there will be plenty of hog supply in the first half of this year. The meat market will still remain oversupplied. However, the meat price in the second half of the year is expected to rebound. At present, there are some problems that can not be ignored in the pig market. First, from the structure of the stock market, the stock of male and female pigs was 15,198,900, down by 2.2% over the same period of the previous year. The piglets were 3539.87% of the total stock, down 3.5% from the same period of last year. Second, the price of pigs has been at a low level, and the price of food has steadily risen. The ratio of pig food to grain is relatively low. It dropped to 1: 4.5 by the end of 1998 and is still in a downward trend. The comparative benefits of farmers’ pigs have been reduced or even lost. Some peasants have switched from pig-raising to other production. Third, some were affected last year