我国体育产业能否在下世纪初叶成为国民经济新的增长点,是当前体育界关注的一个热点问题。要对这一问题作出回答,首先就必须对国民经济新增长点作一界定。从一般意义上理解,一类经济活动或一项产业要成为国民经济新增长点至少要符合三个条件:一是这类经济活动或产业应不在传统行业之列,或虽属传统行业,但以往对经济增长的贡献率较低,而现在却表现出极大的增长潜力;二是这类经济活动或产业所提供的产品和服务已经成为全社会新的消费热点,投资者纷纷涌入,产业规模迅速扩大;三是这类经济活动或产业能带动整个产业结构的调整与升级,并能拉动一系列相关产业的发展。当前,符合这样的条件,可以称之为国民经济新增长点的大概只有信息产业和居民住宅建筑业。从理论上讲,体育产业具有逐步成长为国民经济新增长点的潜质。一、它是新兴的朝阳产业,不在传统行业之列;二、体育消费已经在我国的大中城市和部分富裕的农村地区悄然兴起,并正在成为一个新的社会消费热点和投资热点; Whether China’s sports industry can become a new growth point of the national economy in the early 21st century is a hot issue that the sports community is currently concerned about. To answer this question, we must first define the new growth point of the national economy. It is generally understood that a certain type of economic activity or an industry to become a new growth point of the national economy should meet at least three conditions: First, such economic activities or industries should not be listed in the traditional industries or traditional industries The past, the contribution rate of economic growth is low, but now shows great growth potential; the second is that such economic activities or industries provide products and services have become the new consumer focus of the whole society, investors have poured in, The rapid expansion of industrial scale; third, such economic activities or industries can drive the adjustment and upgrading of the entire industrial structure and can drive the development of a series of related industries. At present, in line with such conditions, what we call the new growth point of the national economy is probably only the information industry and residential construction industry. In theory, the sports industry has the potential to gradually grow into a new growth point for the national economy. First, it is a new sunrise industry, not in the traditional industries; Second, sports consumption has been quietly rising in China’s large and medium-sized cities and some affluent rural areas, and is becoming a new social consumption hot spots and investment hot spots;