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根据我国海域内船舶溢油历史纪录 ,利用概率分析方法探讨不同溢油量等级溢油事故发生次数的概率特点。分析结果表明 ,不同溢油量等级溢油事件在概率分布上的差异明显 ,且与定性分析的结论并不完全一致 ,这将有助于溢油事件发生特征的深入了解。
According to the historical records of oil spills in the sea area of China, the probabilistic characteristics of the number of oil spill accidents with different oil spill levels are explored by means of probability analysis. The analysis results show that there are obvious differences in the probability distribution of oil spill events of different oil spill levels, which are not completely consistent with the conclusions of qualitative analysis, which will be helpful for the in-depth understanding of the characteristics of oil spill occurrence.