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本文通过分析,得出2007年和2012年我国四大地区碳排放的空间分布状况:碳排放量为东部地区>中部地区>东北地区>西部地区,碳排放强度为西部地区>东北地区>中部地区>东部地区。全国各省市的碳排放量在空间上存在明显的正相关关系,东部地区和中部地区各省份碳排放的集聚类型主要以“High-High”和“Low-High”为主,西部地区大部分属于“Low-Low”集聚类型,而东北地区则以“Low-High”集聚为主,并且各省份的碳排放具有明显的空间溢出效应。最后通过STIRPAT模型分析可知,对碳排放拉动效应最明显的因素为经济水平(GDP)、人口规模(P)、能源强度(E)和能源结构(CS),而产业结构和城镇化水平并没有对碳排放产生拉动效应。
This paper analyzes the spatial distribution of carbon emissions in four major regions in China in 2007 and 2012: the carbon emission is in the eastern region> the central region> the northeast region> the western region, and the carbon emission intensity is in the western region> the northeast region> the central region > Eastern Region. There is a clear positive correlation between carbon emissions in all provinces and cities in China. The main types of carbon emissions in the eastern and central provinces are mainly “High-High” and “Low-High,” while the western Most of the regions belong to the “Low-Low” agglomeration type, while the northeast region is dominated by “Low-High” agglomeration, and the carbon emissions in each province have obvious spillover effects. Finally, through the STIRPAT model analysis, we can see that the most obvious factors driving the carbon emission are the economic level (GDP), population size (P), energy intensity (E) and energy structure (CS), while the industrial structure and urbanization level are not A pull effect on carbon emissions.