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本文运用空间杜宾模型实证,考察了新常态下资本和劳动力供给要素对旅游经济增长的影响,并将其对旅游经济增长的影响效应进行了分解。研究结果显示,资本和劳动力每提高1个百分点,将促进本地区旅游经济分别增长0.63%和0.46%;空间溢出效应对旅游经济增长的影响开始显现,其中,资本对邻近地区旅游经济增长的空间溢出效应为正,劳动力对邻近地区旅游经济增长的空间溢出效应为负,虽然影响系数的统计量不显著,但仍须引起高度重视,谨防旅游劳动力流动性过大和区域间相互恶性竞争给旅游经济增长带来不利影响。新常态下亟须深入推进旅游供给侧结构性改革,增强要素供给的有效性和精准性,为开辟旅游经济新天地提供坚实基础。
Employing the empirical model of spatial Dobbin model, this paper examines the impact of capital and labor supply factors on tourism economic growth under the new normal, and analyzes the effects of tourism and economic growth on the impact of tourism growth. The results show that each increase of 1 percentage point of capital and labor force will promote 0.63% and 0.46% growth of tourism economy in the region respectively. The impact of spillover effect on tourism economic growth will start to appear. Among them, the space for capital growth in tourism in neighboring regions The spillover effect is positive. The labor spillover effect on the tourism economic growth in the neighboring areas is negative. Although the statistic of the impact coefficient is not significant, great attention must still be given to it. Beware of excessive mobility of tourism workers and vicious competition among regions in tourism economy Growth has a negative impact. Under the new normal, it is urgent to further promote structural reform of tourism supply side, enhance the effectiveness and accuracy of supply of factors, and provide a solid foundation for opening up a new world of tourism economy.