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航空货运业是我国近年来发展迅猛的产业。本文总结了该产业的发展特征,系统分析了在外资大规模进入背景下的市场结构及其变化,比较了国内外航空公司的竞争力,并对我国未来航空货运市场的需求做了预测。研究认为,在国内航空货运的主要市场上,国内航空运输企业与外国公司的竞争已经形成;随着该市场的进一步开放,外资会继续大幅度进入,市场竞争会不断加剧;我国三大航空集团的重组会有利于该市场规模经济的实现和国内航空企业竞争力的提高。对未来市场的预测显示,今后几年中国的航空货运需求的年增长速度大约在12%～14%之间,其中国际航线的增长速度略高于平均速度。
Air cargo industry is a rapidly developing industry in our country in recent years. This paper summarizes the development characteristics of the industry, systematically analyzes the market structure and its changes in the context of large-scale foreign investment, compares the competitiveness of domestic and foreign airlines, and forecasts the future demand of China’s air cargo market. The study shows that in the major markets for domestic air cargo, the competition between domestic air transport enterprises and foreign companies has taken shape. With the further opening up of the market, foreign investment will continue to enter the market substantially and the market competition will continue to intensify. China’s three major aviation groups Reorganization will be conducive to the realization of economies of scale in the market and the competitiveness of domestic aviation enterprises. Forecasts for the future market show that the annual growth rate of air cargo demand in China will be between 12% and 14% in the next few years, with the growth rate of international airlines slightly higher than the average.