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碳排放是区域旅游业环境影响的重要指标。采用“自下而上”的方法,从旅游交通、旅游住宿、旅游活动三个方面测算了江苏省2001~2013年旅游业的碳排放,研究了碳排放的动态变化特征,分析了江苏省旅游碳排放与旅游经济增长之间的脱钩状态。研究表明:(1)旅游碳排放总量不断增加,但年均增长率低于旅游经济增长率。旅游业碳排放总量从2001年的188.5747×10~4 t增加到2013年的478.0887×10~4 t,增幅为153.53%,年均增长率为8.06%,低于同期旅游经济年均增长率9.74%。(2)旅游交通碳排放是区域旅游业碳排放的主要组成部分。2001~2013年,旅游交通碳排放量占旅游业碳排放总量平均为79.20%,旅游住宿为16.10%,旅游活动为4.70%。(3)旅游业整体呈绿色发展趋势,2001~2013年江苏省旅游业碳排放与旅游经济增长的脱钩状态以弱脱钩为主,旅游经济发展质量相对较高。
Carbon emissions are an important indicator of the environmental impact of regional tourism. Using the method of “bottom-up”, this paper estimates tourism emissions in Jiangsu Province from 2001 to 2013 from three aspects of tourism transportation, tourism accommodation and tourism activities, studies the dynamic changes of carbon emissions, Provincial tourism carbon emissions and tourism economic growth between the decoupling state. The research shows that: (1) The total amount of tourism carbon emissions keeps increasing, but the average annual growth rate is lower than the growth rate of tourism economy. Total tourism carbon emissions increased from 188.5747 × 10 ~ 4 t in 2001 to 478.0887 × 10 ~ 4 t in 2013, an increase of 153.53% and an average annual growth rate of 8.06%, lower than the average growth rate of tourism economy in the same period 9.74%. (2) Tourism Transportation Carbon emissions are a major component of regional tourism carbon emissions. From 2001 to 2013, tourism transportation carbon emissions accounted for an average of 79.20% of tourism carbon emissions, tourism accommodation was 16.10%, tourism activity was 4.70%. (3) The tourism industry as a whole has a green development trend. From 2001 to 2013, the decoupling state between tourism carbon emissions and tourism economic growth in Jiangsu Province is dominated by weak decoupling, and the quality of tourism economy development is relatively high.