美国不可能回归实体经济,因为那意味着美国货币霸权的终结,因此债务的货币化将进行到底美国财政悬崖即美国的增税与减支这两项政策叠加使美国经济陷入紧缩。财政悬崖给市场带来的更多的是预期方面的影响,最终得到缓和是大概率事件,但真正解决恐怕还遥遥无期。同时,两党的争执也不会停止,这是美国的政治体制决定的,而美国也不可能回归实体经济,因为 The United States will not be able to return to the real economy because that means the end of the currency hegemony in the United States. Therefore, the monetization of the debt will go to end. The U.S. fiscal cliff, the tax increase and reduction by the United States, will add up to a tightening of the U.S. economy. The financial cliff to the market more is the expected impact, the final relief is a high probability event, but the real solution I am afraid in the foreseeable future. At the same time, the dispute between the two parties will not stop. This is determined by the political system of the United States. The United States can not return to the real economy because