IEA２００２年世界能源展望预测，今后３０年，世界石油净出口（扣除再出口和区域内贸易）将翻一番以上，由２０００年的３２００万桶／日，提高到２０１０年的４２００万桶／日和２０３０年的６６００万桶／日。增长基本反映了主要消费国需求和国内生产之间缺口扩大。正是中东 In the next 30 years, the world oil net exports (net of re-exports and intra-regional trade) will more than double over the next 30 years, from 32 million barrels / day in 2000 to 42 million barrels / day in 2010 And 66 million barrels / day in 2030. The growth basically reflects the widening gap between demand in major consumer countries and domestic production. It is the Middle East