能源是社会发展的重要物质基础,随着我国GDP的快速增长,全社会对能源的需求越来越大。因此能源预测的准确性将对我国经济发展产生很大影响。本文采用ARMA模型对我国“十一五”期间的能源需求进行预测,为我国能源行业的规划和社会经济的发展提供一点借鉴作用。 Energy is an important material basis for social development. With the rapid growth of China’s GDP, the demand for energy in the whole society is getting larger and larger. Therefore, the accuracy of energy forecasting will have a great impact on China’s economic development. In this paper, the ARMA model is used to forecast the energy demand during the “11th Five-Year Plan” in our country, which provides a reference for the planning of our energy industry and the development of social economy.