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埃森哲开展了一项基于德尔菲法(Delphi)的调研计划,目的是帮助人们深刻理解演变中的“未来能源体系”。这项研究有7项主要发现:能源体系的变化速度快于预期;气候变化将日益成为能源政策的关注点,并推动可再生能源投资;当前的市场结构难以支持能源体系发生根本性转变;向低碳经济转型将导致限额交易(cap-and-trade)计划的推行,企业须建立健全的碳管理机制;碳市场须辅以其他形式的财政刺激措施;业界和政策制定者必须寻求建立公开、透明的参与机制;新的竞争者将利用政策环境的变化,对整个价值链上的现有公司构成严重威胁。随着未来能源体系的不断发展,公司应依照能源政策的变化,不断完善自己的战略计划。能源体系的未来仍是不确定的,公司将在其形成过程中发挥重要作用。因此,公司要主动行动,以便在未来能源体系中实现卓越绩效。
Accenture conducted a Delphi-based research project to help people understand the evolving “future energy system.” There are seven key findings from this study: energy systems are changing faster than expected; climate change will increasingly become a focus of energy policy and promote investment in renewable energy; the current market structure will not support a fundamental shift in the energy system; The transition to a low-carbon economy will lead to the introduction of a cap-and-trade plan that companies need to establish sound carbon management mechanisms; carbon markets must be complemented by other forms of fiscal stimulus; and industry and policymakers must seek to establish open, Transparent participation mechanisms; new competitors will use the changes in the policy environment to pose a serious threat to existing companies across the value chain. With the continuous development of energy system in the future, the company should constantly improve its own strategic plan in accordance with changes in energy policies. The future of the energy system is still uncertain and the company will play an important role in its formation. Therefore, companies must take the initiative to achieve high performance in the future energy system.