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铁路运输作为我国重要的运输力量,为我国的经济做出了重要的贡献。英国著名政经杂志《经济学人》认为铁路货运量比官方GDP更能反映中国的国民经济,可见铁路货运量的重要性。本文根据最近30年来铁路货运量以及国民经济量数据,运用协整分析,误差修正,对二者进行实证分析。
As an important transportation force in our country, railway transportation has made an important contribution to our country’s economy. The famous British political and economic magazine, “Economist” that the railway freight volume than the official GDP to better reflect China’s national economy, we can see the importance of railway freight volume. Based on the data of railway freight traffic and national economy in the recent 30 years, this paper uses cointegration analysis and error correction to analyze the two.