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公元15世纪,特别是15世纪中叶的几十年里,世界各地几乎都经历着一场严重的经济衰退。不同经济体之间的贸易水平下降、货币贬值、手工艺品大量缩减。这一衰退的最低谷在1460年代或者1470年代结束。在随后的60-70年间,世界经济突飞猛进。论文认为,15世纪中叶严重的经济衰退与随后经济的强劲增长是与贵金属生产、分配的剧烈波动以及全球气候模式的巨大变化直接联系在一起的。论文以中国明代为参照,结合中国在15世纪和16世纪初所处的世界地位与所发挥的作用来进行论述。
In the fifteenth and ad-hoc years of the mid-fifteenth century, almost all of the world experienced a severe economic recession. The trade level between different economies declined, the currency devalued and the handicrafts drastically reduced. The lowest point of this recession ended in the 1460s or 1470s. During the next 60-70 years, the world economy has been making rapid progress. The paper argues that the severe economic recession in the middle of the 15th century and the subsequent strong economic growth were directly linked to the drastic fluctuations in the production and distribution of precious metals and the great changes in the global climate model. The essay takes the Ming Dynasty of China as a reference and combines the world status and the role played by China in the 15th and early 16th centuries.