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在经济全球化浪潮下,对外贸易及FDI对经济的拉动作用日益凸显。自2001年以来河北省对外贸易与FDI的增长速度均高于全国平均水平,对经济的促进作用十分明显,因而研究对外贸易、FDI与经济增长的关系具有重要的现实意义。本文利用1989~2007年河北省的相关宏观经济数据,通过协整分析和误差修正模型来分析对外贸易、FDI与经济增长的长期均衡和短期非均衡的数量经济关系,并在此基础上提出相应的对策与建议。
Under the tide of economic globalization, the stimulating effect of foreign trade and FDI on the economy has become increasingly prominent. Since 2001, the growth rate of both foreign trade and FDI in Hebei Province has been higher than the national average and the promotion effect on the economy is very obvious. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to study the relationship between foreign trade, FDI and economic growth. Based on the relevant macroeconomic data from 1989 to 2007 in Hebei Province, this paper analyzes the long-term equilibrium of foreign trade, FDI and economic growth and the short-term unbalanced quantitative economic relations through co-integration analysis and error correction model. On the basis of this, Countermeasures and Suggestions.