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2014年春节行情反常下行:生猪价格从节前一个半月开始下跌,期间南方做腊肉、北方杀年猪均未扭转其下跌局面。1月中旬已经跌破猪粮比价的红线,这是近10年来首次出现春节前需求旺季养猪跌破成本线且跌至中度亏损。目前还有下滑趋势。这种违反了常规的走势让很多养猪人陷入了迷茫不知所措。唯一利好的消息便是,国家发改委发文称即将启动本年度生猪收储工作,不过此次收储极有可能类似于2013年度第一次收储,很难对生猪市场价格起到明显的提振作用。因此,养殖户要客观看待此次收储,对此希望需持谨慎。
In the spring of 2014, the market went an anomalous downward trend: the prices of hogs dropped from one and a half months before the holiday. During the period, the south did bacon and the northern killings did not reverse the decline. In mid-January, the price of pig food has dropped below the red line. This is the first time in nearly 10 years that the demand peak season pigs fell below the cost line and dropped to a moderate loss before the Spring Festival. There is still a downward trend. This violates the conventional trend for many pig farmers into confusion overwhelmed. The only positive news is that the National Development and Reform Commission issued a document that is about to start this year’s live pig collection and storage work, but this storage is likely to be similar to the first purchase in 2013, it is difficult to play a significant role in boosting the market price of pigs . Therefore, farmers want to objectively view the receipt and storage, which hope to be cautious.