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近年来,经济分析工具的一个重要突破就是动态随机一般均衡模型(DSGE)的飞速发展和广泛应用。文章基于动态随机一般均衡分析方法,构建了与中国经济环境相适应的新凯恩斯主义DSGE模型,在一个统一的框架下来进行中国宏观经济的内生随机增长的实证研究,从而有效解决了以往随机增长模型研究中存在遗漏变量偏差和外生增长假设的结构性变化问题。
In recent years, an important breakthrough in economic analysis tools has been the rapid development and widespread application of the Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model (DSGE). Based on the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium analysis method, the article builds a new Keynesian DSGE model that adapts to the Chinese economic environment and conducts an empirical study on the endogenous growth of China’s macroeconomy in a unified framework, so as to effectively solve the problems of stochastic growth In the model study, there is a problem of structural changes in the omission of variables and the assumption of exogenous growth.