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根据人口老龄化发展趋势预测,在未来30年左右的时期内,上海市既具有世界发达地区人口老龄化“高”(老龄化程度高)、“高”(高龄老人比重高)、“少”(子女少)的特征,又具有世界发展中地区人口老龄化“快”(老龄化发展速度快与“低”(经济发展水平相对比较低)的特征,面临着“双重挑战”。在这种态势下,如何确保上海市城镇职工基本养老保险基金运作的可持续性,将成为影响未来上海市经济持续快速健康发展及城镇老年人生活质量不断提高的一个重大经济问题和社会问题。就这个问题谈几点意见:
According to the prediction of the development trend of population aging, Shanghai will have both “high” (high degree of aging), “high” (high proportion of elderly) and “little” population aging in developed regions of the world in the next 30 years or so. (With fewer children) and “fast” population aging in the developing world (aging population is characterized by “low” (relatively low level of economic development) and “double challenge.” In this How to ensure the sustainability of Shanghai Urban Employee Basic Endowment Insurance Fund operation will become a major economic and social issue that will affect the sustained, rapid, healthy development of Shanghai’s economy and the continuous improvement of the quality of life of urban elderly in the future. A few comments: