Uncertainties of Targeting Observation for MCV-associated Rainfall in the Context of Ensemble Foreca

来源 :中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室2013年度LASG年会 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:thomas962
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Considering the inconsistency between the targeting observation areas determined by different strategies and the insignificant improvement through long-term experiments, especially for a forecast metric that is nonlinearly related to the initial field, this work uses direct data assimilation method via observing system simulation experiments to examine the uncertainties of targeting area of heavy rainfall as a forecast metric that is associated with a mesoscale convective vortex and nonlinearly related to the initial field from the ensemble forecast point of view.
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