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随着中国经济的高速发展,中国的对外贸易也在不断丰富扩大。近几年在中国持续的双顺差以及外汇持续增长的状况下,人民币升值的趋势也越来越明显。针对人民币汇率升值的压力以及中国正在进行的汇率改革,本文采用人民币汇改后从2005年8月到2011年3月的汇率数据及出口月度数据进行实证的分析,探讨汇率变动与中国出口贸易额的关系,从而对完善外汇制度以及经济改革提出建议,使中国的对外贸易能够平衡发展。
With the rapid development of China’s economy, China’s foreign trade is also expanding and expanding. In recent years, with the continued double surpluses in China and the continued growth of foreign exchange, the trend of RMB appreciation has become more and more obvious. In response to the pressure of appreciation of the RMB exchange rate and China’s ongoing exchange rate reforms, this article uses an exchange rate data and monthly export data from August 2005 to March 2011 after an RMB exchange rate reform to conduct empirical analysis to explore exchange rate changes and China’s export trade volume. The relationship between China and the United States put forward proposals for improving the foreign exchange system and economic reform so that China’s foreign trade can develop in a balanced manner.