国债是经济建设和弥补财政赤字的重要来源，也是调节经济运行的重要手段，但是发行规模把握不好就会产生预想不到的后果，甚至还会造成债务危机和信用危机。因此，我们有必要对我国的国债规模作出有根据的预测。 一、从宏观经济形势及货币政策的 实施看我国未来的国债规模 一、 Treasury bonds are an important source of economic construction and making up fiscal deficits. They are also an important means of regulating economic operations. However, the grasping of the issue scale can have unforeseeable consequences and even lead to debt crises and credit crises. Therefore, we need to make a sound prediction of the size of our national debt. First, from the macroeconomic situation and the implementation of monetary policy to see the size of China’s future national debt First,