(一)外贸顺差规模继续扩大,但下半年顺差增量比上半年减少1．各大经济体增长较快,外部需求仍较为旺盛今年上半年,世界经济增长好于预期,各主要经济体增长强劲。针对货币流动性过松和通货膨胀压力增大的问题,近期世界各国纷纷采取调高利率等紧缩性措施实行预调节,各国资本市场和国际大宗商品市场出现了 (1) The scale of trade surplus continued to expand, but the increase in surplus in the second half of the year decreased by 1 over the first half. Rapid growth of major economies and strong external demand In the first half of this year, world economic growth was better than expected, and the growth of major economies was strong. In response to the problem of too much liquidity in the currency and the pressure of inflation, recently all countries in the world have adopted preconditioning measures such as raising interest rates and other austerity measures. Capital markets and international commodity markets in various countries have emerged