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为全面深入了解经济增长与能源消费的关系,运用Tapio弹性脱钩理论分析山东省经济增长与能源消费的依赖关系。研究结果表明,从2006-2014年山东省经济增长与能源消费除2011年处于强脱钩状态外,总体上处于弱脱钩状态,离强脱钩程度还有一定距离。此现象说明山东省能源效率的提高和能源消费结构的优化未能弥补经济增长对能源的需求幅度。据此,山东省要实现经济与能源强脱钩发展,必须推进产业结构优化升级,提高能源效率和改善能源消费结构。
In order to comprehensively and deeply understand the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption, Tapio elastic decoupling theory was used to analyze the dependence of economic growth and energy consumption in Shandong Province. The results show that from 2006 to 2014, the economic growth and energy consumption of Shandong Province are in a strong decoupling state except for 2011, and they are still in a weak decoupling state as a whole. There is still a certain distance from the extent of strong decoupling. This phenomenon shows that the improvement of energy efficiency and the optimization of energy consumption structure in Shandong Province do not make up the energy demand for economic growth. Therefore, to achieve strong economic and energy decoupling development, Shandong Province must promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure, increase energy efficiency and improve the energy consumption structure.