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今年上半年,国际石油市场总体震荡上行,布伦特和WTI期货价格分别于6月19日和20日达到今年以来的高点(分别为115.06美元/桶和107.26美元/桶)。进入7月份以来,国际油价上行趋势被逆转,进入震荡下行通道。7月31日,WTI跌破100美元/桶重要关口。8月下旬,WTI和布伦特原油期货价格分别降至93.35美元/桶和101.6美元/桶,其中布伦特油价降至年内低点。展望后市,国际油价继续大幅下跌的可能性不大。预计在前期下行惯性作用下,短期仍有继续震荡走低的可能性,根据技术分析,布伦特和WTI的底部支撑位分别为98~100美元/桶和90~92美元/桶,后期有可能触底反弹,但反弹力度受制。
In the first half of this year, the international oil market generally fluctuated upwards. The prices of Brent and WTI futures reached the highest point of this year on June 19 and 20 (at $ 115.06 / barrel and $ 107.26 / barrel respectively). Since July, the upward trend of international oil prices has been reversed and has entered a downward spiral channel. July 31, WTI below 100 US dollars / barrel mark. In late August, WTI and Brent crude futures prices dropped to 93.35 US dollars / barrel and 101.6 US dollars / barrel, respectively, of which Brent oil prices fell to the year low. Looking into the market outlook, the international oil prices continue to fall sharply unlikely. It is expected that there will be a possibility of continuing lower volatility in the short term under the previous downward inertia effect. According to technical analysis, the bottom support levels of Brent and WTI are 98-100 USD / barrel and 90-92 USD / barrel respectively, and the latter may be Bottom to rebound, but the rebound force is subject to restraint.