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基于概率样本的有序回归分析显示,对新疆维吾尔族居民分离倾向发生直接影响的因子涵盖了地方经济水平、个人生存状态、民族交往状况、族际资源配置与占用、少数民族文化习俗维护、干群关系/维吾尔族干部问题、宗教保守倾向及世俗化/现代化等多个方面,只有根据新疆地区的实际情况制定体系化应对措施才可能取得良好的治理效果。新疆分离倾向的产生具有一定必然性,该问题的最终解决有赖于新疆社会的整体发展及维吾尔社会的现代转型。鉴于“新疆问题”的特殊性与复杂性,具体社会对策的设计必须基于科学、扎实的本土性经验研究。
Based on the orderly regression analysis of probabilistic samples, the factors that directly affect the segregation tendencies of Uighur residents in Xinjiang include local economic level, individual living conditions, ethnic contact, allocation and occupation of inter-national resources, maintenance of ethnic customs, Group relations / Uyghur cadre issues, religious conservative tendencies and secularization / modernization. Only by formulating systematic responses based on the actual situation in Xinjiang can we achieve good governance results. The emergence of the separatism in Xinjiang has certain inevitability. The ultimate solution to this problem depends on the overall development of Xinjiang society and the modern transformation of Uighur society. In view of the particularity and complexity of “Xinjiang Problem ”, the design of concrete social countermeasures must be based on scientific and solid local experience research.