今天还有人象二十年代许多人那样地抱有幻想,以为经济会迅速回复到“正常状态”,即回复到六十年代经济“自行持续”增长的状态。可是每个头脑清醒的人都明白,我们是处在经济史上的一个时代的尽头了。这个时代通常称之为凯恩斯主义时代。每一个时代,似乎都需要有个领袖,以便对之颂扬,或加以贬损。而凯恩斯被强加了许多并不归他负责的事。如果凯恩斯今天还活着,或者他活到六十年代的话,他也会认为自己不是凯恩斯主义者的。所谓“凯恩斯主义革命”和“凯恩斯主义时代”,多的是陈词滥调,对此,需要的是分析而不是人云亦云。 Today, there are still people who, like many people in the 1920s, have their illusions that the economy will quickly return to a “normal state”, that is, to a state of “self-sustained” growth in the 1960s. However, every sober-minded person understands that we are at the end of an era in economic history. This era is usually called the Keynesian era. It seems as if every leader needs a leader to praise or derogate. Keynes was implicated in many things that did not belong to him. If Keynes was alive today, or if he lived until the 1960s, he would consider himself not Keynesian. The so-called “Keynesian revolution” and the “Keynesian era” are mostly clichés, and analytic rather than saying goes.