哈特在《法律的概念》一书中解释了法律的概念为什么如此之重要,这个概念的背后隐藏着怎样的问题。他在奥斯丁的“命令模型”以及卢埃林、霍姆斯、格雷、凯尔森等人关于法律概念阐述的基础上提出了自己的独特见解,并开创了分析法学派的先河。在这个过程中,哈特将霍姆斯的预测论作为主要的批判对象,然而他对霍姆斯的批判相当分散。因此,将哈特对霍姆斯之预测论批判的观点进行分析整理非常必要。 Hart in the “concept of law,” a book explains why the concept of law is so important, hidden behind the concept of what kind of problem. He put forward his own unique opinions based on Austin’s “Command Model” and Llewellyn, Holmes, Gray, Kelsen and others on the concept of law, and set a precedent for analytical school . In this process, Hart took Holmes’s predictive theory as the main critic, but his criticism of Holmes was quite scattered. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze and sort out the viewpoint of Hart’s criticism on Holmes’s predictive theory.