美国著名情报学家F.W.兰开斯特在他的名著《情报检索系统——特性、试验与评价》中预言,“我们正在迅速地、不可避免地走向一个无纸的社会。”研究报告的编写、出版、传播和利用都完全是电子式的。“”我们现在正处于从纸张印刷到电子化这一自然演变的中间阶段,计算机虽已被用于印刷,但产生出来的出版物还是印在纸上邮寄;机读数据库同印刷版数据库并存。“”情报资源将开始转向电子式的分发与利用。“ The famous American intelligence intelligence officer FW Lancaster predicted in his famous book ”Information Retrieval System - Characteristics, Experimentation and Evaluation“ that ”we are moving rapidly and inevitably toward a paperless society.“ The study The preparation, publication, dissemination and utilization are entirely electronic. ”“ We are now in the midst of a natural evolution from paper printing to electronic, though computers are being used for printing but the resulting publications are printed on paper and mailed; the machine-readable database is identical to the printed version of the database coexist. ”“ Intelligence resources will start to shift to electronic distribution and utilization. ”