针对国内外高速铁路的社会发展状况和旅客群体属性等,从路网规模、经济发展、人口分布、客流结构等因素,分析高速铁路的客运需求特点。同时结合我国既有铁路客运特点,从客流细分、旅客支付能力和客流增长趋势等方面,对我国铁路客运专线的客流需求特点进行预测分析。 According to the social development of high-speed railway at home and abroad and the attributes of passenger groups, this paper analyzes the passenger demand characteristics of high-speed railway from the factors of road network scale, economic development, population distribution, passenger flow structure and other factors. Combined with the characteristics of China’s existing railway passenger transport, this paper forecasts and analyzes the passenger demand characteristics of China’s passenger dedicated railway from the perspective of passenger flow segmentation, passenger payment capacity and passenger flow growth.