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随着次贷危机负面影响的逐渐扩散,全球经济面临的不确定性开始上升。受此影响,全球经济放缓的趋势开始显露。对于很大程度上依赖外需的日本经济来说,受的冲击也将越来越大,并可能影响到经济复苏的趋势。在当前的经济情况下,日本央行加息的可能性开始消失,而一旦经济明显恶化,央行将不得不考虑减息。日元汇率则可能继续在套利交易平仓的带动下升值。
With the gradual diffusion of the negative impact of the subprime mortgage crisis, the global economy is facing increasing uncertainty. Affected by this, the global economic slowdown trend began to show. For the Japanese economy, which relies heavily on foreign demand, the impact will also be greater and greater, and this may affect the trend of economic recovery. Under the current economic conditions, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates begins to disappear, and once the economy has obviously deteriorated, the central bank will have to consider cutting interest rates. The yen exchange rate is likely to continue in the arbitrage transaction led the appreciation of the value.