目前我国正处于城镇化快速推进阶段,城镇化的快速推进必然会影响水资源的供需平衡。本文运用系统动力学的基本原理和方法,对我国城镇化快速推进过程中水资源的供需情况进行了研究,通过建立系统动力学模型,分析预测我国未来城镇化对水资源供求变化趋势的影响,提出了缓解水资源供需矛盾的建议。 At present, China is in the stage of rapid urbanization. The rapid urbanization will inevitably affect the balance between water supply and demand. In this paper, the basic principles and methods of system dynamics are used to study the supply and demand of water resources in the process of rapid urbanization in our country. Through the establishment of system dynamics model, the impact of future urbanization on the supply and demand of water resources in China is analyzed and predicted. Proposed to ease the contradiction between supply and demand of water resources recommendations.