对外贸易与经济增长关系一直是经济研究中的热点问题,在对外贸易取得了长足发展的今天这一问题显得更加重要。本文对相关的研究文献进行了评述,并采用四个变量系统的VAR模型和VECM模型,对我国对外贸易、产出和投资的关系进行了实证研究,实证结论证明了对外贸易对经济增长不管是长期还是短期都存在正的影响,并提出了改变对外贸易增长方式和鼓励进口的政策建议。 The relationship between foreign trade and economic growth has always been a hot issue in economic research. Nowadays, the issue of making great progress in foreign trade has become even more important. In this paper, the relevant research literature is reviewed, and the VAR model and VECM model of four variables are used to make an empirical study on the relationship between China’s foreign trade, output and investment. Empirical evidence proves that foreign trade does not matter to economic growth Both positive and negative in the long run or in the short run, and proposed policy suggestions on how to change the mode of growth of foreign trade and encourage imports.