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2012年,我国经济呈见底回稳走势。前3季度,受出口增速大幅回落等因素的影响,我国经济增速持续下滑,中国经济运行指数降至34,比2011年4季度降低16.5个点。4季度,货币政策放松和政府投资力度加大等举措的效果显现,我国经济逐渐企稳,中国经济运行指数小幅回升。全年通胀水平走低,居民消费价格水平年均上涨2.6%,降至较低水平。2013年,经济下滑动能已经基本耗尽,出口、房地产和汽车消费增速均持续回落,已处于很低位置,我国经济已具备较好的回升基础,但调控政策仍会比较谨慎,推动经济回升的动力较弱,因此回升幅度将比较有限;通胀水平将会轻微反弹,但仍可保持在相对低位。
In 2012, the economy of our country showed a steady trend. In the first three quarters, due to the sharp drop in export growth and other factors, China’s economic growth continued to decline. China’s economic performance index dropped to 34, down 16.5 points from the fourth quarter of 2011. In the fourth quarter, the effects of such measures as the easing of monetary policy and the increase of government investment showed that the economy of our country gradually stabilized and the index of economic operation of China rebounded slightly. The annual inflation rate went down, with the average annual consumer price level rising 2.6% to a relatively low level. In 2013, the kinetic energy of the economic downturn has basically run out. The growth of exports, real estate and automobile consumption have all continued to drop. China’s economy has already had a good basis of recovery. However, the regulatory policies will remain cautious and promote economic recovery Have a weaker driving force and therefore the recovery will be limited. Inflation will rebound slightly but still remain relatively low.