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滑坡灾害的发生严重影响人类社会的生产生活,因此对滑坡灾害的预警预测工作一直是地质灾害监测和防治的重点,国内外众多学者都对此进行了相应研究。本文在前人的研究基础上把信息量模型和降雨诱发指数应用在滑坡预测研究中,充分考虑两者的耦合影响,建立了滑坡危险性预测模型,并完成了模型的开发工作。该模型实现了滑坡灾害危险性预测的快速化、自动化,并且已集成到江西省地质灾害预警预报分析决策系统中,得到了成功应用。
The occurrence of landslide disasters has a serious impact on the production and life of human society. Therefore, the prediction and prediction of landslide hazards has always been the focus of geological disaster monitoring and prevention. Many scholars at home and abroad have made corresponding researches. Based on the previous studies, this paper applies the information model and the rainfall-induced index to the study of landslide prediction, and takes full account of the coupling effects between the two models to establish the landslide risk prediction model and completes the model development. The model realizes the rapid and automatic prediction of landslide disaster risk prediction and has been integrated into the prediction and analysis system of geological disasters in Jiangxi Province and has been successfully applied.