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2014年以来我国物价总水平温和上涨,1-8月CPI同比上涨2.2%,PPI同比下降1.6%,PPIRM同比下降1.8%。未来一个时期,需求放缓、通胀预期减弱、翘尾因素降低等因素将抑制物价涨幅,但资源价格改革、劳动力成本上升和猪肉价格上涨将支撑物价涨幅。初步预计,四季度CPI同比上涨2.0%,全年上涨2.1%;四季度PPI下降1.5%,全年下降1.6%。今年后期物价调控重点应是加快推进资源价格改革,做好房地产市场调控工作,淘汰落后产能,为经济结构调整和增长质量的提高创造良好的价格环境。
Since 2014, China’s overall price level has risen modestly. The CPI for January-August increased by 2.2% over the same period of last year. The PPI decreased by 1.6% yoy and PPIRM decreased by 1.8% yoy. In a future period, the slowdown of demand, the weaker inflation expectation and the reduction of the hikes will restrain price increases. However, resource price reform, rising labor costs and rising pork prices will support price increases. Preliminary estimates, fourth quarter CPI rose 2.0%, the annual increase of 2.1%; fourth quarter PPI fell 1.5%, down 1.6% for the full year. The focus of price control in the latter part of this year should be to speed up the reform of resource prices, do a good job in real estate market regulation and control, eliminate backward production capacity and create a favorable price environment for the economic restructuring and improvement of the quality of growth.