针对抚顺西露天矿人车卷边坡的变形发展和滑坡 ,通过 5种滑坡灾害预报理论的分析 ,建立了等维新息 Verhulst和等维新息尖点突变 2种滑坡预报模型。以抚顺西露天矿人车卷滑坡为例 ,进行了滑坡预测 ,滑坡体稳定性的演变过程与采矿工程的关系、边坡体稳定性衰变与位移速率的关系以及“准静态”滑坡失稳体的开采控制。 Aiming at the deformation and landslide of rolling and rolling slopes in Fushun western open pit mine, two types of landslide prediction models, including Verhulst with equal dimension information and cusp mutation with equal dimension, were established by analyzing five kinds of landslide hazard prediction theories. Taking the case of Manchu Volume Landslide in Fushun West Open Pit as an example, the relationship between the landslide prediction, the evolution process of landslide body stability and the mining engineering, the relationship between the stability of the slope body and the displacement rate, and the “quasi-static” The mining control.