在卡尔纳普之后,用概率的理念与方法研究科学证据和确证问题,受到许多学者的重视。在此尝试对与科学证据有关的几个重要问题从概率角度进行理解和解释,包括:证据陈述中出现的“比较级”问题、考虑到证据存在时假说的“可接受性”问题以及以信念为基础的相信假说的“合理性”问题。 After Carnap, the concept of probabilistic methods and methods of scientific evidence and confirmation of the problem, by many scholars attention. At this point, we try to understand and explain several important issues related to scientific evidence from the perspective of probability, including the problem of “comparative grade” appearing in the evidence presentation and the “acceptability” of hypothesis when the evidence exists. Problems and the “rationality” of the belief-based belief hypothesis.