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今后20年内,中国将有近5亿农民需要实现市民化,人均市民化成本为10万元,为此至少需要40万亿-50万亿元的成本。这个庞大的数据,足以压垮地方财政,地方政府是经济理性人,对这笔账算得很清楚。地方政府正在以城镇化的名义进行基础建设,奇怪的是,户籍制度改革几乎遭遇所有市长反对,这样的悖论显示,多数城市只想享受城镇化的红利,而不愿承担城镇化的成本。
In the next 20 years, nearly 500 million peasants in China will need to achieve urbanization with a per capita urbanization cost of 100,000 yuan, for which at least 40 to 50 trillion yuan will be required. This huge amount of data is enough to crush the local finance, the local government is the rational economic man, the account is very clear. The local government is carrying out infrastructure in the name of urbanization. What is strange is that the reform of the household registration system has almost met with all the mayors’ opposition. This paradox shows that most cities only want to enjoy the urbanization bonus instead of the cost of urbanization .