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化肥化肥的需求总体上是一个稳定略增的态势,预计需求量在3900万吨左右。从供给来看,近3年国产化肥产量平均增幅为7%,预计2003年化肥总产量在3500万吨左右,国内供需仍存在差距,价格有上涨趋势。但2003年化肥关税配额总量将达到1073万吨,加上2002年的库存,2003年的化肥可供给量超过4000万吨,化肥资源平衡有余,可以满足农业需求。因此价格不会出现大幅上涨,总体上
The demand for chemical fertilizers and fertilizers is generally a steady increase with a projected demand of 39 million tons. From the supply point of view, the average growth rate of domestic fertilizer production over the past three years was 7%. It is estimated that the total output of fertilizer in 2003 will be about 35 million tons. There is still a gap between domestic supply and demand and the price will go up. However, the total amount of tariff quotas for chemical fertilizers will reach 10.73 million tons in 2003. With the inventory in 2002, the supply of chemical fertilizers in 2003 will exceed 40 million tons and the balance of chemical fertilizers will be sufficient to meet the needs of agriculture. So the price will not rise sharply, on the whole