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依据美国农业部对外农业服务局(USDA-Foreign Agricultural Service)公布的统计数据,分析和预测了2012/2013产季世界主要地区和国家的落叶水果(苹果、葡萄和梨)的生产、贸易、消费以及加工状况。结果表明:2012/2013产季,世界主要落叶水果中,苹果和葡萄的产量、进出口量与消费量都有所增长,而梨因部分主产区遭受气候灾害而减产,因而进出口量与消费量也有所减少;中国的苹果、葡萄、梨等水果的产量呈现全面增长态势,已成为推动世界水果作物增产的最主要力量;但是主要水果持续增产,容易形成产大于销、供过于求的市场环境,果品滞销和产业波动风险加大,值得业界高度关注。
Based on statistics released by the USDA-Foreign Agricultural Service, the production, trade and consumption of deciduous fruits (apples, grapes and pears) in the major regions and countries of the world during the 2012/2013 season were analyzed and predicted As well as processing conditions. The results showed that in the 2012/2013 season, the output, consumption, import and export of apples and grapes among the main deciduous fruits in the world increased. However, due to the climate disasters in some main producing areas, the output and output of The output of fruits such as apples, grapes and pears in China has shown an overall growth trend and has become the most important force in boosting the output of the world’s fruit crops. However, the output of major fruits has continued to increase, making it easier for the market to produce more output than sales and oversupply , The slow-moving of fruits and the risk of industrial fluctuation increase, it is worth the industry’s attention.