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目前欧盟、国际货币组织、世界银行等大部分国际机构的研究数据都表明,未来10~20年之间是世界经济大变化的阶段。到2020年前后,以中国为代表的新兴经济体的经济总量和规模将与OECD国家基本持平。这是世界进入工业化以来从未出现过的局面,是世界经济再平衡的核心问题。造成这一变化的最根本原因在于发达国家的人口老龄化,以及由此导致的劳动力短缺。第二个原因是市场与生产的转移。工业化生产取决于市场的大小,未来市场将
At present, the research data from most international agencies such as the European Union, the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank show that the next 10 to 20 years will be the stage of great changes in the world economy. By 2020, the total economic volume and scale of emerging economies represented by China will be basically the same as that of OECD countries. This is a situation that the world has never seen since it entered into industrialization and is at the core of the rebalancing of the world economy. The root cause of this change lies in the aging of the population in developed countries and the resulting labor shortage. The second reason is the shift of market and production. Industrial production depends on the size of the market, the future market will