论文部分内容阅读
后发优势经济体在达到12000国际元后同样会进入结构性减速,其增速变化与其相对于美国人均GDP的百分比紧密相关。根据亚洲四小龙的经验,在进入结构性减速之后,相对美国人均GDP每上升1%,导致人均GDP增速下降0.16%。根据上述规律预测未来中国中长期增长演变趋势,即在达到12000国际元的结构性减速之后,其经济增长速度要比较早时期的国家同一阶段的经验增速更快。
The post-dominance economy will also enter a structural slowdown after reaching 12,000 international dollars, and its growth rate is closely related to its percentage relative to the U.S. GDP per capita. According to the experience of Asian dragons, after entering a structural slowdown, GDP per capita rose by 1% relative to that of the United States, resulting in a 0.16% decrease in the growth rate of per capita GDP. According to the above rules, the trend of medium and long term growth of China in the future is predicted. That is, after the structural deceleration of 12,000 international dollars is achieved, the economic growth rate of the medium and long-term growth in China will increase faster than the experience of the same phase in the earlier countries.