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2013年上半年,全球经济整体趋于企稳,多个发达经济体呈现或开始呈现复苏态势。其中,美国经济复苏势头较为稳固,欧洲经济出现复苏信号,日本经济刺激政策取得一定效果。但新兴市场经济增速放缓,对全球经济的拉动作用减弱。一、主要国际机构对全球经济的预测当前全球经济形势仍然复杂,经济运行中不稳定不确定因素依然突出。短期内,既有下行压力,也有一定的上行动力,主要多边国际机构和金融机构对
In the first half of 2013, the global economy as a whole tended to stabilize, and many advanced economies showed or started to show a recovery trend. Among them, the United States has enjoyed a relatively solid economic recovery, signals of recovery in the European economy and Japan’s economic stimulus policies to some extent. However, the slowdown in the growth of emerging markets and the pulling effect on the global economy weakened. I. PREDICTION OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY BY MAJOR INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS The current global economic situation is still complicated and the unstable and uncertain factors in the economic operation are still outstanding. In the short term, there is both downward pressure and certain upward momentum. Major multilateral and international institutions and financial institutions